Subject: Measures of the Changing Value of the
Dollar
Keywords: dollar, inflation, forex, Currency, "foreign
exchange rates", NYBOT, FED, USDX, Store of Value, ...
Measures of the value of the dollar
Measures
of the value of the dollar include:
The NYBOT U.S. Dollar Index® (or USDX®), “the DX”, http://www.nyce.com/ (On the right, click "US Dollar Index". On the right of this page is USDX Information . Regretably, this does not lead to how the USDX is computed! But see below.) or alternately
The CME$INDEX® a weighted geometric index of 7 currencies against which futures and options are traded on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange. http://www.cme.com/files/CMEINDEXDescription.pdf
Oil Price of oil
CPI (Consumer Price Index)
PPI (Producer Price Index)
The Economist's Big Mac Index
Gold Price
Broad Federal Reserve Index http://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/H10/Summary/ XRUSDBD (includes major and other)
Major Currencies Federal Reserve Index http://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/H10/Summary/ XRUSDMD (the successor to the G-10 index)
OITP Federal Reserve Index http://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/H10/Summary/ XRUSDOD Other Important Trading Partners
G-10 Federal Reserve Index http://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/H10/Summary/ DXYD The construction of the index is described in the October 1998 issue of the Federal Reserve Bulletin.
Federal Reserve System
Indexes
The discussion and theory of the Fed's
indexes is described in an article "New
summary measures of the foreign exchange value of the dollar" in
the October 1998 Federal Reserve Bulletin. That article is
also available here.
See also the 2005 paper Indexes
of the Foreign Exchange Value of the Dollar which may be the
best technical paper on the Fed's indexes.
Here are the Fed's (2007-1973) historical currency weights for its Broad Index and a discussion of how the index has been revised since 1998. The broad index and the other exchange rate indexes are calculated by staff members of the Federal Reserve Board, and made available here .
NYBOT U.S. Dollar Index
The NYBOT US
Dollar Index usdx is
said to be based on the Fed's dollar index. (Which one?!) It
is calculated as a geometric weighted average of the change in six
foreign currency exchange rates against the U.S. Dollar relative to
March 1973. The USDX measures the dollar’s general value
relative to a base of 100.00. A quote of ‘105.50’ would
suggest that the dollar’s value had risen 5.50% since this base
period.
Within NYBOT® U.S. DOLLAR INDEX® RULES, rule 15.01 Index Specifications says:
Rule 15.01. Index Specifications
The U.S. Dollar Index (“USDX®”) will be computed using the following formula, currencies
and currency weights:
Where Spot Ratei=exchange rate of currency i at time t with all exchange rates expressed in
European terms, i.e., units of Foreign Currency per U.S. dollar
and wi=weight for currency i
The six (6) currencies and their weights are:
Currency Weight
Euro ……………………………………. .576
Japanese yen …………………………… .136
British pound sterling ………………….. .119
Canadian dollar ………………………… .091
Swedish krona …………………………. .042
Swiss franc …………………………….. .036
A New York Board of Trade briefing slide titled NYBOT US Dollar Index basket formula shows:
50.14348112 times the product of all components raised to an exponent equal to the % weighting
((EURUSD ^ 0.576) * (JPY ^ 0.136) * (GBP ^ 0.119) * (CAN ^ 0.091)* (SEK ^ 0.042) * (CHF^.036) )
Currency |
approx. NYBOT "trade weighted" Weighting (these numbers are apparently from 2001) |
Independent estimate of US trade with this partner |
Euro |
.576 |
.115 |
Japanese_yen |
.136 |
|
British_pound |
.119 |
|
Canadian_dollar |
.091 |
.17 |
Swedish_krona |
.042 |
.014 for Sweden together with Switzerland |
Swiss_franc |
.036 |
|
0.0 |
|
|
Mexican Peso |
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
|
|
0.0 |
|
|
Total |
1.0 = 100% (The six numbers above do indeed add up to 1.0.) |
1.0 = 100% (The numbers above do not add up to 1.0.) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
-- or some minor variation of this. The weightings are based on
the trade relationships with other G10 countries. The cash NYBOT US
Dollar Index is calculated by Reuters when foreign exchange markets
are open. (However, searching Reuters for USDX givex zero hits.) Here
are previous currency weights.
USDX futures contracts
and options on those contracts are traded on the NYBOT.
A New York Board of Trade briefing slide titled NYBOT US Dollar Index basket formula shows:
50.14348112 times the product of all components raised to an exponent equal tothe % weighting
((EURUSD ^ 0.576) * (JPY ^ 0.136) * (GBP ^ 0.119) * (CAN ^ 0.091)* (SEK ^ 0.042) * (CHF^.036) )
Current Values
Info on the value of the US
dollar can be found at:
Reuters for NYBOT's USDX.
XE.com Currencies http://www.xe.com/ (You can make your own currency table.)
Kitco live http://www.weblinks247.com/indexes/idx24_usd_en_2.gif
Free Delayed Options, Option Call, & Option Put Quotes at http://quotes.tradingcharts.com/futures/quotes/DX.html
Daily or Weekly Free charts (ending now) at http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=%24usd Symbol: $USD
Daily or Weekly Free Ratio charts (ending now) at http://stockcharts.com/ Example Symbol: $USD:$GOLD
Free Ratio charts (ending now) at at http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=$USD:$WTIC&p=D&yr=3&mn=0&dy=0&id=p32395097522 Example Symbol: $USD:$GOLD
For-subscription sophisticated charts at http://stockcharts.com
Historical Free Futures or Options data at http://www.econstats.com/fut/xnyb_ea28.htm
U.S $ INDEX (NYBOT:DX) Streaming Chart for members http://quotes.ino.com/chart/?s=NYBOT_DX
Free about 20-30 mins delayed Cash and Futures http://futures.tradingcharts.com/marketquotes/index.php3?market=DX